Possible scenario
Case Stays Contained
45% Chance
The indictment proceeds as a serious but contained terrorism case, with Israeli prosecutors focusing on the accused professor and a small circle of alleged accomplices. Security services find no immediate operational cell beyond the charged plot, limiting public disruption and market relevance.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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