Possible scenario
Natural Impact Confirmed
42% Chance
NASA and partner observatories determine that the crater was created by a natural meteoroid impact rather than a spacecraft or rocket body. This is the most likely outcome because the Moon is continually bombarded by small objects and most new craters have limited operational implications.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.1%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- LUNR+0.9%
- FLY+0.7%
- RKLB+0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.