Possible scenario
Executive Fight Escalates
20% Chance
Trump and allied Kennedy Center board members press forward despite congressional resistance, creating a legal and procedural fight. This scenario is less likely than a legislative block, but it remains plausible given Trump’s repeated refusal to rule out demolition.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.