Possible scenario
SEC Path Gains Traction
42% Chance
The Hyperliquid Policy Center's endorsement helps normalize the SEC's federal registration pathway after the CLARITY defeat. Industry groups and large platforms push for a workable operator-focused framework rather than waiting for Congress.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.5%
- Technology +0.3%
Tickers
- PURR+3.8%
- +2.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.