Possible scenario
Further Technical Slippage
28% Chance
The fabrication flaw proves harder to correct than initially indicated, or qualification testing reveals additional integration issues. The market treats the delay as evidence that Neutron development risk remains high despite Rocket Lab's Electron track record.
Tickers
- RKLB-8.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.