Possible scenario
Inquiry quietly limited
42% Chance
The most likely outcome is that career officials at the FBI and Justice Department narrow or block any undercover plan because the facts look like a neighborhood dispute rather than a national-security matter. Stephen Miller still receives protective briefings tied to the stalking indictment, but the neighborhood group is not treated as an investigative target.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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