Possible scenario
Standalone Refinancing
24% Chance
CoreWeave stabilizes liquidity without a court process by accepting materially higher funding costs and tighter collateral terms. This is plausible because the company still has contracted AI demand, but lenders demand protection after yields reached 16.1%.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.2%
Tickers
- CRWV+2.4%
- NVDA+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.