Possible scenario
Immigration Limits Prevail
18% Chance
The Court could follow its 2026 rejection of Trump's birthright citizenship limits by again constraining the executive branch on immigration. At the same time, the conservative majority may still continue its pro-Second Amendment trajectory, creating a split ideological outcome.
Tickers
- GEO-3.6%
- CXW-3.3%
- SWBI+2.0%
- RGR+2.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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