Possible scenario
Valuation Gets Trimmed
25% Chance
Investors still want exposure to OpenAI but question the step-up from its prior $730 billion valuation to $1.4 trillion. The most likely compromise is a lower valuation, tranched structure, or heavier investor protections rather than a failed raise.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.6%
- Finance -0.2%
Tickers
- MSFT-0.7%
- -0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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