Possible scenario
Ohio Order Holds
40% Chance
The most likely path is that the Ohio athletes remain eligible while the NCAA's challenge proceeds on an expedited but not season-ending schedule. Courts often avoid disrupting athletes once games have begun, especially where the state frames the order as preventing irreparable harm.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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