Possible scenario
Credit Stress Persists
31% Chance
CoreWeave remains solvent but funding markets continue to demand distressed yields. Equity investors focus on refinancing risk, capex intensity, and whether the OpenAI and Meta contracts are enough to service debt on schedule.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.8%
- Industrials -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- CRWV-10.7%
- NVDA-0.9%
- VRT-0.4%
- -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.