Possible scenario
Higher Yield Holds
45% Chance
The most likely path is that harvest reports broadly validate USDA's higher yield forecast after earlier concerns from dry conditions and crop deterioration. Corn futures remain under pressure as traders price larger ending stocks and lower feed-grain costs.
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials -0.7%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.7%
- Industrials -0.4%
- Energy +0.2%
Tickers
- TSN+2.4%
- GPRE+2.0%
- -1.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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