Contained Jerusalem Unrest

The raid triggers clashes in and around the Old City, but Israeli police, the Jerusalem Waqf, and Jordanian officials prevent the confrontation from spreading into a broader conflict. This is the most likely path because prior Al Aqsa incidents often generate sharp local unrest without immediately changing the regional military balance.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.