Possible scenario
Regulators Slow Rollout
23% Chance
U.S. and multilateral scrutiny limits the speed of Sivar adoption, especially if officials question anti-money-laundering controls, consumer disclosures, or the fiscal cost of subsidizing a flat $2 fee. Bukele keeps the program politically alive, but usage grows more slowly than the headline implies.
Tickers
- WU+0.9%
- RELY+0.8%
- WSE+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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