Possible scenario
Orderly Wind-Down
38% Chance
Igloo executes a controlled shutdown of Abstract with clear bridge, claims, and developer migration instructions. This is the most likely path because Blast's closure days earlier gives a template for minimizing operational and reputational damage.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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