Possible scenario
Security Disrupts Execution
15% Chance
Regional security risks interfere with construction schedules, LNG logistics, or insurance for power assets. Recent pipeline sabotage in Syria and recurring Israel-Lebanon tensions make this a realistic downside even if Qatar and Lebanon remain politically committed.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.4%
- Energy +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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