Possible scenario
Defense Wins Reversal
20% Chance
Pokémon’s defendants could obtain appellate or later-stage relief, especially if the court accepts arguments grounded in expressive works, lack of actionable injury, or insufficient linkage between card design and antisemitic discrimination. This would reduce near-term legal risk and limit copycat litigation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.