Possible scenario
Compliance Retreat
29% Chance
Polymarket tries to contain the fallout by deleting sensitive markets, apologizing for its defense, and adopting stricter market-review standards. This path is plausible because the company already removed both nuclear detonation and Cornell-related markets after public pressure.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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