Possible scenario
Drazan Wins Decisively
12% Chance
A broader anti-incumbent mood and persistent voter concern about public safety turn a statistical tie into a clear Republican win. This would signal a larger-than-expected shift in a state long viewed as safely Democratic at the gubernatorial level.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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