Possible scenario
Decision Is Delayed
15% Chance
The government slows the timetable after pressure from car dealers, fleet buyers, consumer groups, and Chinese automakers. This outcome would reduce near-term trade friction but risk renewed pressure from Brussels over UK access to EU vehicle supply chains.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.4%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- STLA-1.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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