Possible scenario
Cost Optics Dominate
40% Chance
Developers and enterprise buyers treat the benchmark lead as less meaningful once output-token usage is included in total cost. The near-term debate shifts from raw intelligence scores to cost per correct answer, weakening the marketing value of SpaceXAI's claimed lead over GPT-5.6.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
Tickers
- MSFT+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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