Possible scenario
Contained Protest Wave
30% Chance
Protests continue across New York City, drawing immigrant-rights groups, local elected officials, and counter-protesters. Police manage the demonstrations without a major breakdown in public order, but ICE movements face recurring disruptions.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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