Possible scenario
Leadership Transition Begins
25% Chance
The accumulated controversies make Kotlikoff's position untenable, leading to a resignation, retirement announcement, or negotiated transition. Trustees would likely appoint an interim leader while launching a search focused on crisis management and federal-relations experience.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.