Possible scenario
Sanctions Focus Widens
20% Chance
Western governments use the Russian retaliation campaign and prior reporting on Wildberries to justify new sanctions against Russian e-commerce, logistics, and payment networks. The main financial effect is company- and sector-specific rather than a broad global macro move.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.5%
- Finance -0.4%
- Business Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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