Possible scenario
LNG Deal Disrupted
22% Chance
The allegations create enough reputational and procedural risk that Greek officials and U.S. agencies re-check the LNG transaction history. This is less likely than a narrow ethics review, but the background timeline suggests the payment issue is tied to a broader commercial push.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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