Possible scenario
Flooding Becomes Focus
30% Chance
The main hazard shifts from wind to heavy rainfall, flash flooding, and mudslides across Baja California Sur and possibly parts of Sinaloa. Damage to roads, ports, and tourism infrastructure is meaningful regionally but not large enough to alter global risk appetite.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.4%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.3%
- Industrials -0.2%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.1%
Tickers
- MAR-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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