Possible scenario
Case Is Reassigned
25% Chance
Reyes either recuses voluntarily or the district court grants reassignment to avoid an extended fight over perceived impartiality. The merits of the tree-removal dispute remain unresolved, but the administration gains procedural breathing room.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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