Possible scenario
Jackson Reclaims Momentum
31% Chance
Troy Jackson stabilizes the Democratic campaign and persuades voters that the race is about Collins' record rather than Platner's collapse. This scenario is plausible if Democrats quickly consolidate labor, progressive, and anti-Trump voters behind Jackson.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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