Possible scenario
Democratic Turmoil Deepens
17% Chance
The fallout from Graham Platner's halted campaign continues to damage Democratic organization and fundraising. Even if Jackson is the nominee, lingering ballot, donor, or factional issues help Collins frame herself as the stable option.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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