Possible scenario
GOP Attacks Stick
34% Chance
Republicans succeed in making Abdul El-Sayed a nationalized culture-war target rather than a Michigan-focused Senate candidate. The attacks linking him to radicalism keep dominating cable news, conservative fundraising emails, and Republican field organizing.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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