Possible scenario
IPO Overhang Deepens
40% Chance
The most likely path is that Elice's weak debut becomes a near-term warning for Korea's IPO market rather than a systemic shock. Investors demand larger valuation discounts for unprofitable or growth-heavy technology listings after the 32% plunge.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Business Services -0.2%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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