Possible scenario
Inquiry Gains Momentum
25% Chance
Opposition lawmakers and former security officials keep the allegation alive by seeking testimony and records from Netanyahu's office. The scandal becomes part of the broader accountability debate over Israel's October 7 failures.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.4%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- +1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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