Possible scenario
Rapid Coordinated Patch
45% Chance
Apple and Signal treat the demonstration as a credible but containable vulnerability chain. The most likely path is a fast iOS and Signal update, with limited evidence of exploitation and only modest reputational damage.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.