Possible scenario
Claim Collapses Publicly
45% Chance
The security images become the dominant evidence, and the Ohio hospital-treatment allegation is broadly treated as false. Sortor faces reputational criticism but the episode remains primarily a political and media-credibility dispute.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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