Possible scenario
Paxton Reframes Race
28% Chance
Ken Paxton uses the venue to energize Republican voters by attacking CNN, emphasizing Donald Trump's endorsement and portraying Talarico as too liberal for Texas. The format gives Paxton a chance to convert institutional skepticism into base enthusiasm.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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