Possible scenario
National CBP System Fault
15% Chance
The JFK outage turns out to be part of a broader CBP processing-system problem affecting several major international airports. Airlines and airports remain functional, but customs throughput slows enough to disrupt international connections and arrivals nationwide.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.8%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- JBLU-1.5%
- DAL-1.0%
- UAL-0.8%
- AAL-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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