Possible scenario
Johnson Exits Congress
38% Chance
Johnson follows through on his signal and decides the minority role is not worth remaining in the House. A Republican-held Louisiana 4th District seat makes the personal decision politically manageable, while Hakeem Jeffries prepares to take the speaker's gavel.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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