Possible scenario
Congress Revives Compromise
18% Chance
The White House move increases pressure on senators to legislate rather than leave crypto policy to agency discretion. A narrower compromise becomes plausible if it adds ethics restrictions, conflict-of-interest disclosures, and stronger consumer-protection language.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.6%
- Technology +0.4%
Tickers
- COIN+3.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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