Possible scenario
District Court Merits Fight
45% Chance
The most likely path is that the U.S. District Court keeps the pocket-rescission litigation alive and moves quickly to the merits. The judge’s rejection of mootness makes it harder for the Justice Department to end the cases procedurally and keeps pressure on OMB Director Russell Vought to justify the withholding under the Impoundment Control Act.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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