Possible scenario
Negotiations Slow
25% Chance
The parties continue talks but slow the timetable because Wells Fargo compliance teams and regulators require more controls around liquidity, custody, and intraday settlement risk. This is plausible because large U.S. banks typically move cautiously even after regulatory roadblocks ease.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Tickers
- COIN+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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