Possible scenario
Ricketts Holds Seat
48% Chance
Pete Ricketts converts Trump's visit into stronger Republican turnout and consolidates rural Nebraska voters who had been wavering. The race remains closer than a normal Nebraska Senate contest, but the state's partisan baseline and Trump-aligned mobilization keep the seat Republican.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
- Finance +0.1%
- Industrials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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