Possible scenario
Race Remains Unresolved
14% Chance
The race is so close that late mail ballots, provisional votes, or recount procedures delay a final call. This outcome would draw national attention if Senate control depends on Nebraska, but the direct market effect remains limited unless it changes the chamber's balance.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.