Possible scenario
Appeal Gains Traction
25% Chance
The Trump administration seeks emergency relief from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, arguing Judge Reyes exceeded her authority and showed bias. The appeals court partially engages, but a full recusal order remains unlikely.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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