Possible scenario
Prolonged Backup Outage
25% Chance
Credential resets and identity reviews take longer than expected, leaving cloud backups offline for a meaningful share of customers. The market impact is concentrated in IT services and software trust rather than broad risk assets.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.7%
- Business Services -0.5%
Tickers
- MSFT-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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