Possible scenario
Review Delays Decision
25% Chance
The administration pauses the plan for legal and procurement review rather than canceling it outright. This outcome lets Trump keep the option alive while shifting responsibility to lawyers, the General Services Administration, or agency ethics officials.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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