Possible scenario
Exploit Proves Broader
30% Chance
Security researchers find that the Safari exploit is part of a broader chain that can bypass mitigations on several iOS versions. This would turn the story from a quick patch cycle into a more damaging mobile-security and crypto-wallet confidence event.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.3%
- Finance -0.2%
Tickers
- AAPL-4.7%
- COIN-2.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.8%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.