Possible scenario
Regulators Add Guardrails
25% Chance
Regulators allow on-chain stock trading to continue but move quickly to define disclosure, custody, market-data and investor-protection standards. This slows speculative momentum while preserving the basic policy direction established by the SEC's September authorizations.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.5%
- Finance -0.2%
Tickers
- SPCX-1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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