Possible scenario
Democrats consolidate Michigan
42% Chance
Harris's trip gives Abdul El-Sayed establishment cover after a contentious primary and helps national Democrats unify behind him. The most likely outcome is a more disciplined Democratic campaign focused on turnout in Detroit, Ann Arbor, and suburban Wayne and Oakland counties.
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare -0.2%
Tickers
- UNH-0.3%
- HUM-0.2%
- CVS-0.2%
- ELV-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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