Possible scenario
Price Weakness Returns
15% Chance
The one-rig gain fades if crude prices weaken again after the sharp plunge earlier in 2026. Producers delay marginal drilling plans, especially outside the lowest-cost Permian acreage.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.6%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- NBR-1.1%
- -1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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