Possible scenario
Localized Mine Stoppage
45% Chance
The most likely outcome is that Codelco keeps only the affected El Teniente areas offline while geotechnical teams and Chilean safety authorities inspect the landslide zone. Copper market reaction stays limited because the halt is partial and buyers wait for confirmation of lost tonnage.
Initial impacts
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Tickers
- SCCO+0.4%
- FCX+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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